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https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.05.10
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https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#2.11.04
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Cantidad económica de pedido; código QR; control de inventarios; gestión de inventarios; sistema de inventarios
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Cold wave
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Economic order quantity; QR code; inventory control; inventory management; inventory system
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Forecast based financing
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Inventory management
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1
artículo
The last decade has seen a major innovation within disaster risk management through the emergence of standardized forecast-based action and financing protocols. Given sufficient lead time and forecast skill, a portion of relief funds may be shifted from disaster recovery to disaster preparedness, reducing losses in lives and property. While short-term early warnings systems are commonplace, forecasts at the monthly or seasonal scale are relatively underused, despite their potential value. Incorporating both, numerous relief organizations have developed operational early action protocols for natural hazards. These plans may have well-defined forecasts, trigger criteria, and identification of early actions ranging from weeks to months prior to a predicted disaster, but many have not been explicitly optimized to maximize financial or utilitarian returns. This study investigates the effect o...
2
artículo
Publicado 2021
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In June 2018, the Peruvian provinces of Arequipa and Puno in the southern Andean region were affected by heavy snowfall, which caused severe damage to people and livelihoods in several communities. Using the Forecast-based Financing approach, the Peruvian Red Cross implemented its pre-defined early action protocol before this event, after receiving an extreme snowfall warning (Level 4) from the Peruvian meteorological service. Here, we provide a case study of the approach and event itself, documenting the decision-making thresholds as well as the actions taken. This warning activated the thresholds established in the protocol, and Peruvian Red Cross prioritized 10 communities for pre-disaster support based on the forecasted severity of the event in combination with vulnerability and exposure information. The activation took place 2 days before the extreme snowfall in the communities, and...
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artículo
Publicado 2022
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Globally, the direct cost of natural disasters stands in the hundreds of billions of USD per year, at a time when water resources are under increasing stress and variability. Much of this burden rests on low- and middle-income countries that, despite their relative lack of wealth, exhibit considerable vulnerability such that losses measurably impact GDP. Within these countries, a growing middle class retains much of its wealth in property that may be increasingly exposed, while the few assets the poor may possess are often highly exposed. Vulnerability to extreme events is thus heterogeneous at both the global and subnational level. Moreover, the distribution and predictability of extreme events is also heterogeneous. Disaster managers and relief organizations are increasingly consulting operational climate information services as a way to mitigate the risks of extreme events, but approp...
4
artículo
Publicado 2021
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In June 2018, the Peruvian provinces of Arequipa and Puno in the southern Andean region were affected by heavy snowfall, which caused severe damage to people and livelihoods in several communities. Using the Forecast-based Financing approach, the Peruvian Red Cross implemented its pre-defined early action protocol before this event, after receiving an extreme snowfall warning (Level 4) from the Peruvian meteorological service. Here, we provide a case study of the approach and event itself, documenting the decision-making thresholds as well as the actions taken. This warning activated the thresholds established in the protocol, and Peruvian Red Cross prioritized 10 communities for pre-disaster support based on the forecasted severity of the event in combination with vulnerability and exposure information. The activation took place 2 days before the extreme snowfall in the communities, and...
5
artículo
Publicado 2021
Enlace
Enlace
In June 2018, the Peruvian provinces of Arequipa and Puno in the southern Andean region were affected by heavy snowfall, which caused severe damage to people and livelihoods in several communities. Using the Forecast-based Financing approach, the Peruvian Red Cross implemented its pre-defined early action protocol before this event, after receiving an extreme snowfall warning (Level 4) from the Peruvian meteorological service. Here, we provide a case study of the approach and event itself, documenting the decision-making thresholds as well as the actions taken. This warning activated the thresholds established in the protocol, and Peruvian Red Cross prioritized 10 communities for pre-disaster support based on the forecasted severity of the event in combination with vulnerability and exposure information. The activation took place 2 days before the extreme snowfall in the communities, and...
6
artículo
Publicado 2019
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In the current market, there is a large number of SMEs that have a large margin of economic losses due to lack of stocks, due to the supply process. In other words, the lost sales and the costs of the services generated by not having their products available in their warehouses is a critical scenario in the distribution companies, whose added value lies in maximizing their level of customer service. To solve this problem, we propose a system that integrates the development of the attention and the model of the inventories of the periodic review, the bases based on the framework of the work. The results, after analyzing the demand, their patterns and choosing the best method to use, are antecedents to develop the management of inventories and their policies. Likewise, knowledge management will act as an integrated support. Through the simulation carried out for a distribution of lubricant...
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artículo
This paper provides a proposal designed to improve the inventory management system of SMEs, especially those in the candy production and sales sector. The objective of the study is to increase productivity in terms of management and control of inventories; therefore, the methodology consists of carrying out a bibliographic review about the context and challenges presented by SMEs related to the application of ICTs. Then, the diagnosis of the company under study will make it possible to calculate the forecast based on the most accurate procedure identified in the previous phase. In conclusion, the aim is to apply an inventory control system using software designed specifically for this company, which will use QR codes for data supply and updating in real time.
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artículo
This paper provides a proposal designed to improve the inventory management system of SMEs, especially those in the candy production and sales sector. The objective of the study is to increase productivity in terms of management and control of inventories; therefore, the methodology consists of carrying out a bibliographic review about the context and challenges presented by SMEs related to the application of ICTs. Then, the diagnosis of the company under study will make it possible to calculate the forecast based on the most accurate procedure identified in the previous phase. In conclusion, the aim is to apply an inventory control system using software designed specifically for this company, which will use QR codes for data supply and updating in real time.
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artículo
Publicado 2022
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More than a year later, the resurgence of infections does not bode well for a son return to normalcy. It was different implication in diverse areas. Then, the objective of this document is to show the economic impact of the outbreaks of COVID-19 and its implications and perspectives for the Mexican economy. For data analysis, a forecast based on time series was made. The GDP forecast indicates that it will not present drastic changes during the year 2022. About remittances, they are expected to decline in the coming months but then resume their upward trend. For the unemployment rate, is expected to decrease in the coming months, to return to the same level later and to decrease again at the end of 2022. For the national index of prices and quotations, the forecast shows that for December 2022. It is expected that the Monthly Consumption Index will continue to grow, as it has been doing ...
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documento de trabajo
En el esquema de metas explícitas de inflación y regímenes relacionados, la identificación de la inflación transitoria y las proyecciones de inflación constituyen ingredientes claves para tomar decisiones de política monetaria. Por ello, en la práctica, los bancos centrales usan medidas de inflación subyacente. Este documento construye medidas de inflación subyacente basadas en funciones wavelet y en análisis multi resolución (MRA) para luego evaluar su relevancia para la política monetaria. La construcción de medidas subyacentes con wavelets (WIMS) es relativamente nueva en la literatura y su evaluación no ha sido formalmente realizada, este documento es el primer intento de materializar ambas tareas para el caso del Perú. La otra contribución del documento es la propuesta de dos métodos para evaluar una medida de inflación subyacente: (1) un criterio de largo plazo b...
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artículo
Publicado 2019
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In this article, we provide an impact evaluation of an intervention in Peru regarding preparedness for El Niño impacts in Picsi District of Chiclayo Province in Peru’s northwestern coastal Lambayeque region. This effort involved the provision of special kits that reduce the potential damage to homes as a consequence of rainfall and floods associated with an El Nin˜o-Southern Oscillation event. Information was collected in 2016 when this Forecast-based Financing early action was activated by an El Niño forecast, and after a coastal El Niño actually struck in 2017. This dual database permits us to estimate the impact of the intervention on the damage level of homes by comparing those homes supported by the program with those homes not receiving pilot-program support. This comparison is achieved by using propensity score matching techniques, which identify the most comparable homes to...
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tesis de grado
Publicado 2021
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En el informe a presentar, el estudio de pre factibilidad para la instalación de una planta de tuberías reforzadas con fibra de vidrio se analizará diferentes puntos, que se vinculan con los diversos cursos y métodos que se estudió a lo largo de la carrea de Ingeniería Industrial. Iniciando con el estudio de mercado donde se calculará la demanda de años posteriores y la pronosticada, tomando como base un producto sustito, de tal manera que nos permita conocer la posición de nuestros competidores y la demanda que podría generar nuestro proyecto a un corto y largo plazo, como resultado se obtuvo una demanda de 2 428 236 unidades de producto terminado. Al finalizar este punto procederemos a analizar los diferentes factores de macro localización y micro localización para poder concluir donde es la ubicación más idónea para la instalación de nuestra planta de producción, segu...
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tesis de grado
Publicado 2016
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This investigation begins with a challenge posed by the firm in which the study has been conducted on the team responsible for the supervision of its demand forecasts. Based on the supposition that forecast errors affect the service-level given to customers, an improvement of the forecasting process to reduce forecast error in 10 percentage points and bring concrete economic benefits was requested.
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tesis de grado
Publicado 2023
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Este estudio se enfoca en la búsqueda de soluciones para que la empresa ZWQE, una empresa de dispositivos médicos para hemodiálisis maximice su participación en el mercado peruano. Se identificaron 3 alternativas: pronóstico de la demanda basado en el promedio móvil ponderado, pronóstico de la demanda basado en el suavizamiento exponencial simple y la implementación de un Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) enfocado en la gestión de inventarios que tiene como fin el oportuno abastecimiento a las redes prestacionales de EsSalud. Tras un análisis detenido, se selecciona la implementación de la técnica de estimación basado en el promedio móvil simple que estima la demanda en las redes prestacionales de EsSalud como la alternativa más efectiva. Esta elección se basa en la capacidad de optimizar la gestión de inventarios, anticipándose a las fluctuaciones de la demanda para r...
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documento de trabajo
Publicado 1993
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¿Que tipo de mercado es el mercado laboral? ¿Es un mercado walrasiano? ¿Qué papel juega en su funcionamiento el contexto social? Este artículo busca responder analíticamente estas preguntas. Se examina, primero, las respuestas teóricas de la economía neoclásica, keynesiana y clásica. Debido a que estas teorías tienen predicciones que son inconsistentes de manera flagrante con la realidad latinoamericana, se modifican esas teorías construyendo sendos modelos extendidos. El resultado es que las predicciones de estos modelos muestran mayor grado de consistencia con los datos básicos de América Latina. Se propone, luego, un conjunto de políticas para enfrentar el “problema del empleo”. Concluye señalando que la naturaleza del mercado laboral es dual: hay relaciones sociales a través del mercado y relaciones al interior de la firma. Toda teoría sobre el mercado laboral t...
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artículo
Publicado 2021
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Urban development in the areas surrounding active volcanoes has led to increasing risks in southern Peru. In order to evaluate the hazard, the Instituto Geológico, Minero y Metalúrgico (INGEMMET) created a Volcano Observatory (OVI) to carry out detailed geological investigations to understand eruption histories and provide volcanic hazard maps. The generation of geological information on volcanoes has allowed the identification of scenarios and zoning of potentially impacted areas. This information has also allowed OVI to implement surveillance networks giving priority to the volcanoes that pose the greatest risk to the population, infrastructure, and economic activities. Since 2006, OVI has been running volcanic monitoring networks with a multidisciplinary approach, improving real-time transmission, and making timely forecasts. Based on geological information and the risk posed by the...
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tesis de maestría
Publicado 2012
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La presente investigación trata sobre la creación y aplicación de una Metodología para solucionar problemas resolubles de manera determinista mediante técnicas sencillas y en un tiempo razonable, como puede ser, por ejemplo la resolución de ecuaciones lineales, la realización de pronósticos basados en la ecuación de la línea, pudiendo acortar el tiempo de resolución, más o menos largo, de una manera aceptable Se presenta una nueva metodología, que utiliza la clase Box-Jenkins, para la predicción de la demanda de llamadas, que efectúan los clientes a los centros de llamadas más conocidos como call-center. Se registró, en el trabajo de campo, los aportes y los modelos de solución de diversos autores: orientación del asesor, aporte de investigadores de la UNMSM, investigaciones desarrolladas en diversas organizaciones y las propuestas del autor. El propósito de la Tesis ...
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tesis de grado
Publicado 2015
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El presente estudio de investigación se realizó en el área de producción de la Planta de Alimento Balanceado de la empresa Avícola Yois S.R.L y tuvo como finalidad mejorar la rentabilidad de la empresa, usando técnicas y métodos de ingeniería industrial. El problema de investigación surge cuando se identifican los siguientes problemas: demanda insatisfecha, desconocimientos de herramientas de gestión, falta de orden en el área, deficiente planificación de la producción, paradas por fallas correctivas, todo se basaba de acuerdo a criterios empíricos. Se realizó un diagnóstico de la actual gestión de la producción en la empresa, posteriormente se realizó una recopilación de las ventas en los últimos dos años y se planteó modelo de pronóstico de la demanda basado en datos históricos y un programa maestro de producción para determinar las cantidades necesarias a pro...
