El Niño is one of the phenomena ocean atmospheric that with major frequency impacts over the north region of Peru, which is characterized for intensity rains in the north zone of Peru, causing enormous economic losses and damages in the agriculture, road infrastructure, fisheries, in the education sector, health sector between others. Based on the historical monthly information of the sea surface temperature of the zones Tumbes, Paita and Chicama and using the tools stochastic of prediction as like The Markov's chains, in this research one tries to predict the possible appearance of these events front the Peruvian sea in agreement to different levels of intensity. Using the series of monthly information from beginning until the year 2007 and on the basis of a matrix of transition of Markov's chain, there becomes an attempt of forecast of the appearance of an event El Niño for 2009 of a...

El Niño es uno de los fenómenos océano-atmosféricos que con mayor frecuencia impacta la región norte del Perú, se caracteriza por producir intensas lluvias en la zona norte del Perú, causando enormes pérdidas económicas y daños en la agricultura, infraestructura vial, pesquería, en el sector educación, sector salud, entre otros. Basados en la información histórica mensual de la temperatura superficial del mar de las zonas de Tumbes, Paita y Chicama y utilizando las herramientas estocásticas de predicción como son las Cadenas de Markov, en esta investigación se pretende pronosticar la posible aparición de estos eventos frente al mar peruano, de acuerdo a diferentes niveles de intensidad. Utilizando la serie de datos mensuales disponible para cada puerto hasta el año 2008 y en base a una matriz de transición de una cadena deMarkov se hace un pronóstico de la posible ap...

The research objective is to minimize the time to care for the population affected by natural disaster. It is suggested that the affected population go to safe places of refuge and care of basic needs, established by the civil defense headquarters, whose knowledge must be disseminated throughout the population permanently, The study consists of two fases, in the first stage determines the location of sites of care by using networks of nodes such that nodes of a network represent areas where the population resides. It uses the model of the p-medium and the test of time home care to the residents who come to the center of attention, associated with the shortest distance to reach the point of care. After having located the sites of care, focuses the problem of efficient and timely care to the people that need it, for which we construct a Petri net for each focus. This network represents the...

El objetivo de la investigación es minimizar el tiempo de atención a la población afectada por un desastre natural. Se plantea que la población afectada acuda a lugares seguros de refugio y atención de necesidades básicas, establecidos por la sede de defensa civil, cuyo conocimiento debe ser de permanente difusión entre la población. El estudio consta de dos fases, en la primera fase se determina la localización de los lugares de atención haciendo uso de redes de nodos tales que los nodos de una red representan las áreas donde reside la población. Se utiliza el modelo de las p-medianas y el criterio del inicio del tiempo de atención a los pobladores que acuden al centro de atención, asociado a la menor distancia para llegar al lugar de atención. Luego de haberse ubicado los lugares de atención, se enfoca el problema de la atención eficiente y oportuna a los pobladores qu...

In the University faculties, as in every organization, there are Organizational entities that have functions related to human resource management, such as the administrative management, academic department, faculties, even the committee assessment and the theaching improvement. In the context described above, our interest is to develope a study concerned with the following objectives: To have an assignment system charge of the professors of the Mathematic Science Faculty, in particular in the Operational Research deparment, which guarantees an objective and impartial distribution that will allow to select the suitable professor to teach a particular course, with this purpose, it has been formulated a linear program model. Moreover, we set out a Markov's chain which translate in a transition probability matrix the changes of category of the permanent professor of the Mathematic Science Fa...

En las Facultades de la Universidad, como en toda organización, existen unidades organizacionales que tienen funciones relacionadas a la Gestión de Recursos Humanos, tales como la Dirección Administrativa, Escuelas y Departamentos Académicos e inclusive la Comisión de Evaluación y Perfeccionamiento Docente. En el contexto descrito, nuestro interés está en desarrollar un estudio con los siguientes objetivos: Contar con un Sistema de Asignación de Carga a los Docentes de la Facultad de Ciencias Matemáticas, en particular en el Departamento Académico de Investigación Operativa, que garantizará una distribución objetiva e imparcial y permitirá la selección del docente idóneo para el dictado de un curso, con esta finalidad se ha formulado un modelo de Programación Lineal. Se plantea además una cadena de Markov que traduce, en una matriz de probabilidades de transición, los...

The frequency and impact of natural disasters are increasing, which worries affected countries, especially those where populations are most vulnerable. In Peru, vulnerability to phenomena increases due to actions of the populations that locate their homes on the banks of the active rivers, in the temporarily inactive river beds, in the streams where debris, rocks, vegetation. The Chosica district is no stranger to this situation, becoming a place with high vulnerability. During the El Niño Phenomenon of 2017, Chosica suffered the consequences of heavy flooding of the Rímac River. Given this, this study seeks to mitigate the impact of future floods in the Chosica District, determining the allocation of centralized aid by responsible government entities, prioritizing the residents according to the severity of the impact suffered and providing that support with the greatest effectiveness....

The frequency and impact of natural disasters are increasing, which worries affected countries, especially those where populations are most vulnerable. In Peru, vulnerability to phenomena increases due to actions of the populations that locate their homes on the banks of the active rivers, in the temporarily inactive river beds, in the streams where debris, rocks, vegetation. The Chosica district is no stranger to this situation, becoming a place with high vulnerability. During the El Niño Phenomenon of 2017, Chosica suffered the consequences of heavy flooding of the Rímac River. Given this, this study seeks to mitigate the impact of future floods in the Chosica District, determining the allocation of centralized aid by responsible government entities, prioritizing the residents according to the severity of the impact suffered and providing that support with the greatest effectiveness....