High-resolution marine data and transient simulations support orbital forcing of ENSO amplitude since the mid-Holocene

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This research has been supported by the JPI-Belmont project PACMEDY (via grant ANR-15-JCLI-0003-01 for MC, PB, ME, OM, TC, and BT). MC, JC, DO, RSG, AP, and PR acknowledge funding from Concejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnologia de Peru (grant n° 007-2017-FONDECYT , grant n° 034-2019-FONDECYT-BM ). SPH...

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Autores: Carré M., Braconnot P., Elliot M., d'Agostino R., Schurer A., Shi X., Marti O., Lohmann G., Jungclaus J., Cheddadi R., Abdelkader di Carlo I., Cardich J., Ochoa D., Salas Gismondi R., Pérez A., Romero P.E., Turcq B., Corrège T., Harrison S.P.
Formato: artículo
Fecha de Publicación:2021
Institución:Consejo Nacional de Ciencia Tecnología e Innovación
Repositorio:CONCYTEC-Institucional
Lenguaje:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.concytec.gob.pe:20.500.12390/3011
Enlace del recurso:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12390/3011
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107125
Nivel de acceso:acceso abierto
Materia:Tropical pacific
Bivalves
Corals
Earth system models
El niño southern oscillation
Holocene
Insolation
https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#2.07.06
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oai_identifier_str oai:repositorio.concytec.gob.pe:20.500.12390/3011
network_acronym_str CONC
network_name_str CONCYTEC-Institucional
repository_id_str 4689
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv High-resolution marine data and transient simulations support orbital forcing of ENSO amplitude since the mid-Holocene
title High-resolution marine data and transient simulations support orbital forcing of ENSO amplitude since the mid-Holocene
spellingShingle High-resolution marine data and transient simulations support orbital forcing of ENSO amplitude since the mid-Holocene
Carré M.
Tropical pacific
Bivalves
Corals
Earth system models
El niño southern oscillation
Holocene
Insolation
https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#2.07.06
title_short High-resolution marine data and transient simulations support orbital forcing of ENSO amplitude since the mid-Holocene
title_full High-resolution marine data and transient simulations support orbital forcing of ENSO amplitude since the mid-Holocene
title_fullStr High-resolution marine data and transient simulations support orbital forcing of ENSO amplitude since the mid-Holocene
title_full_unstemmed High-resolution marine data and transient simulations support orbital forcing of ENSO amplitude since the mid-Holocene
title_sort High-resolution marine data and transient simulations support orbital forcing of ENSO amplitude since the mid-Holocene
author Carré M.
author_facet Carré M.
Braconnot P.
Elliot M.
d'Agostino R.
Schurer A.
Shi X.
Marti O.
Lohmann G.
Jungclaus J.
Cheddadi R.
Abdelkader di Carlo I.
Cardich J.
Ochoa D.
Salas Gismondi R.
Pérez A.
Romero P.E.
Turcq B.
Corrège T.
Harrison S.P.
author_role author
author2 Braconnot P.
Elliot M.
d'Agostino R.
Schurer A.
Shi X.
Marti O.
Lohmann G.
Jungclaus J.
Cheddadi R.
Abdelkader di Carlo I.
Cardich J.
Ochoa D.
Salas Gismondi R.
Pérez A.
Romero P.E.
Turcq B.
Corrège T.
Harrison S.P.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Carré M.
Braconnot P.
Elliot M.
d'Agostino R.
Schurer A.
Shi X.
Marti O.
Lohmann G.
Jungclaus J.
Cheddadi R.
Abdelkader di Carlo I.
Cardich J.
Ochoa D.
Salas Gismondi R.
Pérez A.
Romero P.E.
Turcq B.
Corrège T.
Harrison S.P.
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Tropical pacific
topic Tropical pacific
Bivalves
Corals
Earth system models
El niño southern oscillation
Holocene
Insolation
https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#2.07.06
dc.subject.es_PE.fl_str_mv Bivalves
Corals
Earth system models
El niño southern oscillation
Holocene
Insolation
dc.subject.ocde.none.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#2.07.06
description This research has been supported by the JPI-Belmont project PACMEDY (via grant ANR-15-JCLI-0003-01 for MC, PB, ME, OM, TC, and BT). MC, JC, DO, RSG, AP, and PR acknowledge funding from Concejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnologia de Peru (grant n° 007-2017-FONDECYT , grant n° 034-2019-FONDECYT-BM ). SPH acknowledges funding from the ERC-funded project GC2.0 Global Change 2.0: Unlocking the past for a clearer future, grant number 694481 and from the JPI-Belmont project PACMEDY (via NERC ). The distribution and analyses of the transient Holocene simulations with the IPSL model benefit from the Institut Pierre Simon Laplace Climate Modeling Centre Infrastructure supported by ANR “Investissements d'avenir” program ANR-11-IDEX-0004-17-EURE-0006 .
publishDate 2021
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2024-05-30T23:13:38Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2024-05-30T23:13:38Z
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2021
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12390/3011
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107125
url https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12390/3011
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107125
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.ispartof.none.fl_str_mv Quaternary Science Reviews
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier B.V.
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Elsevier B.V.
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:CONCYTEC-Institucional
instname:Consejo Nacional de Ciencia Tecnología e Innovación
instacron:CONCYTEC
instname_str Consejo Nacional de Ciencia Tecnología e Innovación
instacron_str CONCYTEC
institution CONCYTEC
reponame_str CONCYTEC-Institucional
collection CONCYTEC-Institucional
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositorio Institucional CONCYTEC
repository.mail.fl_str_mv repositorio@concytec.gob.pe
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spelling Publicationrp05630600rp08608600rp08610600rp08611600rp08616600rp08617600rp08612600rp08613600rp08607600rp08619600rp08614600rp05637600rp05633600rp08618600rp02072600rp01708600rp07019600rp08615600rp08609600Carré M.Braconnot P.Elliot M.d'Agostino R.Schurer A.Shi X.Marti O.Lohmann G.Jungclaus J.Cheddadi R.Abdelkader di Carlo I.Cardich J.Ochoa D.Salas Gismondi R.Pérez A.Romero P.E.Turcq B.Corrège T.Harrison S.P.2024-05-30T23:13:38Z2024-05-30T23:13:38Z2021https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12390/3011https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107125This research has been supported by the JPI-Belmont project PACMEDY (via grant ANR-15-JCLI-0003-01 for MC, PB, ME, OM, TC, and BT). MC, JC, DO, RSG, AP, and PR acknowledge funding from Concejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnologia de Peru (grant n° 007-2017-FONDECYT , grant n° 034-2019-FONDECYT-BM ). SPH acknowledges funding from the ERC-funded project GC2.0 Global Change 2.0: Unlocking the past for a clearer future, grant number 694481 and from the JPI-Belmont project PACMEDY (via NERC ). The distribution and analyses of the transient Holocene simulations with the IPSL model benefit from the Institut Pierre Simon Laplace Climate Modeling Centre Infrastructure supported by ANR “Investissements d'avenir” program ANR-11-IDEX-0004-17-EURE-0006 .Lack of constraint on spatial and long-term temporal variability of the El Niño southern Oscillation (ENSO) and its sensitivity to external forcing limit our ability to evaluate climate models and ENSO future projections. Current knowledge of Holocene ENSO variability derived from paleoclimate reconstructions does not separate the role of insolation forcing from internal climate variability. Using an updated synthesis of coral and bivalve monthly resolved records, we build composite records of seasonality and interannual variability in four regions of the tropical Pacific: Eastern Pacific (EP), Central Pacific (CP), Western Pacific (WP) and South West Pacific (SWP). An analysis of the uncertainties due to the sampling of chaotic multidecadal to centennial variability by short records allows for an objective comparison with transient simulations (mid-Holocene to present) performed using four different Earth System models. Sea surface temperature and pseudo-?18O are used in model-data comparisons to assess the potential influence of hydroclimate change on records. We confirm the significance of the Holocene ENSO minimum (HEM) 3-6ka compared to low frequency unforced modulation of ENSO, with a reduction of ENSO variance of ?50 % in EP and ?80 % in CP. The approach suggests that the increasing trend of ENSO since 6ka can be attributed to insolation, while models underestimate ENSO sensitivity to orbital forcing by a factor of 4.7 compared to data, even when accounting for the large multidecadal variability. Precession-induced change in seasonal temperature range is positively linked to ENSO variance in EP and to a lesser extent in other regions, in both models and observations. Our regional approach yields insights into the past spatial expression of ENSO across the tropical Pacific. In the SWP, today under the influence of the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ), interannual variability was increased by ?200 % during the HEM, indicating that SPCZ variability is independent from ENSO on millennial time scales. © 2021 The AuthorsConsejo Nacional de Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación Tecnológica - ConcytecengElsevier B.V.Quaternary Science Reviewsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessTropical pacificBivalves-1Corals-1Earth system models-1El niño southern oscillation-1Holocene-1Insolation-1https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#2.07.06-1High-resolution marine data and transient simulations support orbital forcing of ENSO amplitude since the mid-Holoceneinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlereponame:CONCYTEC-Institucionalinstname:Consejo Nacional de Ciencia Tecnología e Innovacióninstacron:CONCYTEC20.500.12390/3011oai:repositorio.concytec.gob.pe:20.500.12390/30112024-05-30 16:13:07.177http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_14cbinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessmetadata only 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<Person id="rp05637" /> <Affiliation> <OrgUnit> </OrgUnit> </Affiliation> </Author> <Author> <DisplayName>Ochoa D.</DisplayName> <Person id="rp05633" /> <Affiliation> <OrgUnit> </OrgUnit> </Affiliation> </Author> <Author> <DisplayName>Salas Gismondi R.</DisplayName> <Person id="rp08618" /> <Affiliation> <OrgUnit> </OrgUnit> </Affiliation> </Author> <Author> <DisplayName>Pérez A.</DisplayName> <Person id="rp02072" /> <Affiliation> <OrgUnit> </OrgUnit> </Affiliation> </Author> <Author> <DisplayName>Romero P.E.</DisplayName> <Person id="rp01708" /> <Affiliation> <OrgUnit> </OrgUnit> </Affiliation> </Author> <Author> <DisplayName>Turcq B.</DisplayName> <Person id="rp07019" /> <Affiliation> <OrgUnit> </OrgUnit> </Affiliation> </Author> <Author> <DisplayName>Corrège T.</DisplayName> <Person id="rp08615" /> <Affiliation> <OrgUnit> </OrgUnit> </Affiliation> </Author> <Author> <DisplayName>Harrison S.P.</DisplayName> <Person id="rp08609" /> <Affiliation> <OrgUnit> </OrgUnit> </Affiliation> </Author> </Authors> <Editors> </Editors> <Publishers> <Publisher> <DisplayName>Elsevier B.V.</DisplayName> <OrgUnit /> </Publisher> </Publishers> <Keyword>Tropical pacific</Keyword> <Keyword>Bivalves</Keyword> <Keyword>Corals</Keyword> <Keyword>Earth system models</Keyword> <Keyword>El niño southern oscillation</Keyword> <Keyword>Holocene</Keyword> <Keyword>Insolation</Keyword> <Abstract>Lack of constraint on spatial and long-term temporal variability of the El Niño southern Oscillation (ENSO) and its sensitivity to external forcing limit our ability to evaluate climate models and ENSO future projections. Current knowledge of Holocene ENSO variability derived from paleoclimate reconstructions does not separate the role of insolation forcing from internal climate variability. Using an updated synthesis of coral and bivalve monthly resolved records, we build composite records of seasonality and interannual variability in four regions of the tropical Pacific: Eastern Pacific (EP), Central Pacific (CP), Western Pacific (WP) and South West Pacific (SWP). An analysis of the uncertainties due to the sampling of chaotic multidecadal to centennial variability by short records allows for an objective comparison with transient simulations (mid-Holocene to present) performed using four different Earth System models. Sea surface temperature and pseudo-?18O are used in model-data comparisons to assess the potential influence of hydroclimate change on records. We confirm the significance of the Holocene ENSO minimum (HEM) 3-6ka compared to low frequency unforced modulation of ENSO, with a reduction of ENSO variance of ?50 % in EP and ?80 % in CP. The approach suggests that the increasing trend of ENSO since 6ka can be attributed to insolation, while models underestimate ENSO sensitivity to orbital forcing by a factor of 4.7 compared to data, even when accounting for the large multidecadal variability. Precession-induced change in seasonal temperature range is positively linked to ENSO variance in EP and to a lesser extent in other regions, in both models and observations. Our regional approach yields insights into the past spatial expression of ENSO across the tropical Pacific. In the SWP, today under the influence of the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ), interannual variability was increased by ?200 % during the HEM, indicating that SPCZ variability is independent from ENSO on millennial time scales. © 2021 The Authors</Abstract> <Access xmlns="http://purl.org/coar/access_right" > </Access> </Publication> -1
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