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artículo
Se ha desarrollado un modelo matemático que permita analizar el comportamiento de la mortalidad en la República Popular de China ocasionado por COVID-2019. Se aplicó el modelo logístico para los datos reportados entre 11 de enero y el 12 de abril del 2020. El modelo formulado fue linealizado y planteado en dos formas. La primera, evaluando el factor de corrección B, que hace las veces de cantidad máxima de fallecidos. Se determinaron los parámetros A, k y r, obteniendo el modelo (Ecuación 7), con un coeficiente de correlación r=-0,9660 y el coeficiente de determinación r^2×100=93,31 %. La segunda forma, con el mismo valor de B, introduciendo un factor de corrección para la variable independiente, t, que hace las veces de “periodo”. Se determinaron los parámetros A, k y r, obteniendo el modelo (Ecuación 10), con un coeficiente de correlación r=-0,9668 y el coeficiente d...
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The objective of the work was to develop a mathematical model to analyze the behavior of mortality in the People’s Republic of China caused by COVID-2019. The logistic model was applied to the data reported in Table 1, between January 11 and April 12, 2020. The model formulated was linearized and presented in two forms, which, with the same value of B, introducing a correction factor for the independent variable, t, which serves as “period” and applying the method of minimum squares, the parameters A, k and r were determined, obtaining the respective model (Equation 10), which was analyzed with Pearson’s correlation coefficient, obtaining the correlation coefficient r=-0.9668 and the determination coefficient r^2×100=93.48 %; deducing the best estimate of the model to the process in modeling (Equation 10) to analyze the mortality phenomenon. Likewise, the mortality rate was eval...
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The calculation of Bernoulli numbers is because there are numerous mathematical expressions and environmental engineering phenomena in which they can be applied. Although it is true that, with the aid of the computer and the use of programs, there are a great number of them; in the current references they are published in a reduced number and, therefore, when using them, unsatisfactory approximations are made. The purpose was to calculate the first 20 Bernoulli numbers, apply them to mathematics (∫ ln(cosx)dx) and environmental engineering, quantifying the alkalinity of natural water in the form of calcium carbonate (CaCO3)(mg/l ), measuring carbon dioxide (CO2). There is a great variety of relations containing Bernoulli numbers presented in several practical applications of mathematics. The best relationships used here are binomial developments. Employing the appropriate equations, th...