Globally there are demand projection models that serve as the basis for energy planning since the 1970s. However, as most of these models affected to developed countries such models must be evaluated, complemented and improved in order to identify the Methodologies that best adapt to the particularities of a developing country such as Peru and at the same time meet the challenges posed by current energy systems such as the emergence of disruptive technologies and an international context to combat climate change. The objective of this article is to define a model of projection of the demand of the residential sector by integrating the end-use models through the rotation of stocks and the substitution model through multicriteria evaluation, which was specially designed for developing countries. They have identified the factors of net present value, investment cost, presentation quality an...

A nivel mundial existen diferentes modelos energéticos implementados en softwares computacionales que sirven de base para el planeamiento energético desde los años 70. Sin embargo, la mayoría de estos modelos y sus respectivos softwares están enfocados en los sistemas energéticos de países desarrollados; por lo que, deben ser evaluados, complementados y mejorados, identificando las metodologías que mejor se adapten a las particularidades de un país en vías de desarrollo como el Perú y a la vez cumplan con los desafíos que plantean los sistemas energéticos actuales como son: la aparición de tecnologías disruptivas, un contexto internacional de lucha contra el cambio climático y el cumplimiento de los objetivos de desarrollo sostenible. Estos puntos hacen que el análisis exhaustivo de la demanda sea el primer paso en el proceso de planificación ya que evita las inversione...

Globally there are demand projection models that serve as the basis for energy planning since the 1970s. However, as most of these models affected to developed countries such models must be evaluated, complemented and improved in order to identify the Methodologies that best adapt to the particularities of a developing country such as Peru and at the same time meet the challenges posed by current energy systems such as the emergence of disruptive technologies and an international context to combat climate change. The objective of this article is to define a model of projection of the demand of the residential sector by integrating the end-use models through the rotation of stocks and the substitution model through multicriteria evaluation, which was specially designed for developing countries. They have identified the factors of net present value, investment cost, presentation quality an...