Estimate of the excess of the total deaths reported in 2020 versus the reported deaths from COVID-19 (SARS-CoV2) in Peru during the months of March, April and May 2020.: Estimación del exceso de muertes reportadas total en el año 2020 versus reporte de fallecidos por Covid-19 (Sars-Cov2) en el Perú durante los meses de Marzo, Abril y Mayo del 2020.

• Autores: Grillo Rojas, Pedro Fidel, Romero Onofre, Roberto
• Formato: artículo
• Fecha de Publicación: 2020
• Institución: Universidad Ricardo Palma
• Repositorio: Revistas - Universidad Ricardo Palma
• Lenguaje: español; inglés
• OAI Identifier: oai:oai.revistas.urp.edu.pe:article/3220
• Enlace del recurso: http://revistas.urp.edu.pe/index.php/RFMH/article/view/3220
• Nivel de acceso: acceso abierto

Methods: We compared the gap between the National Death System (SINADEF) with the oficial reported deaths from COVID -19 from march 1st to  may 31th, 2020; Violent deaths (homicide, suicide, traffic accident; other accidents and unknown deaths) were excluded. To estimate the deaths baseline was used a seasonal linear regression,  from January 1st, 2017 to December 31th, 2019 with a 95% confidence intervals. The deaths reported in the National Death System was compared with the baseline deaths. The excess of deaths reported was estimated by “Simple Difference method”. Results: The research outcomes showed that the excess of total deaths, from 1st March to 31th may, 2020 is 2.24 times greater than the oficial number of deaths reported by COVID-19. Conclusions: The finded differences may be associated directly with a unregistered deaths by COVID-19 and another general death causes related with failures in our Public Health Sistem during the Pandemic period.