Prediction of temperature and relative humidity with AI on the Ecuadorian coast

• Autores: Romero-Carazas, Rafael, Espinoza-Solís, Eduardo, Bazurto-Loor, Anthony Andrés, Castillo-Heredia, Luis Javier, Moreira-Choez, Jenniffer Sobeida, Sabando-García, Ángel Ramón
• Formato: artículo
• Fecha de Publicación: 2024
• Institución: Universidad Tecnológica del Perú
• Repositorio: UTP-Institucional
• Lenguaje: español
• OAI Identifier: oai:repositorio.utp.edu.pe:20.500.12867/14555
• Enlace del recurso: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12867/14555; https://doi.org/10.37868/hsd.v6i2.629
• Nivel de acceso: acceso abierto
• Materia: Artificial intelligence; Relative humidity; Climate change; https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.04

Artificial intelligence (AI) has established itself as an essential tool in climatology. It facilitates accurate analysis and prediction of variables such as temperature and humidity, which are crucial for understanding global warming and its effects. In this context, this study aims to implement predictive simulations of temperature and relative humidity on the Ecuadorian coast using artificial intelligence (AI). This study adopts a quantitative methodology, utilizing daily historical data collected from 2015 to 2020. Monthly averages for maximum temperature and relative humidity were calculated based on 72 observations for each variable. The climate simulation employed statistical techniques such as linear regression and simple correlation, along with the implementation of various AI libraries in Rstudio, including readxl, QuantPsyc, and ggplot2, among others. Additionally, the ARIMA model was applied to analyze time series, facilitating detailed simulation and prediction of both climatic variables. The results indicate a significant inverse correlation between maximum temperature and relative humidity, revealing high-temperature variability in recent years. The optimized ARIMA predictive models showed AICC indices of 180.47 for temperature and 283.16 for humidity after 96 iterations, demonstrating thehigh reliability of AI in climate prediction for the Ecuadorian coastal region. The study concludes with the importance of integrating advanced technologies such as AI in climatology to improve the accuracy and efficiency of climate predictions.