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Evaluation of volatility models with long memory: Evidence from Peru

Descripción del Articulo

The objective of the study is to compare long memory models to model exchange rate volatility. For this objective, the nominal sol / dollar exchange rate is used, covering the periods from July 19, 1999 to November 19, 2013. Essentially, it seeks to examine the prediction capacity between long memor...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor: Briones Zúñiga, José Luis
Formato: artículo
Fecha de Publicación:2020
Institución:Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos
Repositorio:Revistas - Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos
Lenguaje:español
OAI Identifier:oai:ojs.csi.unmsm:article/19342
Enlace del recurso:https://revistasinvestigacion.unmsm.edu.pe/index.php/matema/article/view/19342
Nivel de acceso:acceso abierto
Materia:volatily
GARCH
FIGARCH.
volatilidad
FIGARCH
Descripción
Sumario:The objective of the study is to compare long memory models to model exchange rate volatility. For this objective, the nominal sol / dollar exchange rate is used, covering the periods from July 19, 1999 to November 19, 2013. Essentially, it seeks to examine the prediction capacity between long memory models and hyperbolic behavior of the autocorrelations given by FIGARCH, HYGARCH and IGARCH and concluding that the FIGARCH model (1,0,637,1) using a t-student distribution has a better predictive capacity. The prediction of exchange rate volatility in the case of Peru is structurally important in the calculation of Value at Risk (VaR) and in risk management.
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