Risk of insolvency and return of shares: empirical analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian mining sector between 2008 and 2018

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This research pretends to evaluate the significance of the insolvency risk, referred by Altman's Z-Score, in the explanation of the historical return of the 7 most liquid mining companies listed in the Lima Stock Exchange based on a Market Return Model (MRM) under a cross-sectional approach. In...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Lizarzaburu, Edmundo R., Burneo, Kurt, Berggrun, Luis
Formato: artículo
Fecha de Publicación:2021
Institución:Universidad ESAN
Repositorio:ESAN-Institucional
Lenguaje:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.esan.edu.pe:20.500.12640/2481
Enlace del recurso:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12640/2481
https://doi.org/10.12804/revistas.urosario.edu.co/empresa/a.8558
Nivel de acceso:acceso abierto
Materia:Financial distress
Insolvency risk
Z-Score
Historical stock performance
Emerging markets
Mining sector
Problemas financieros
Riesgo de insolvencia
Puntuación Z
Rendimiento histórico de las acciones
Mercados emergentes
Sector minero
https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.04
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dc.title.en_EN.fl_str_mv Risk of insolvency and return of shares: empirical analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian mining sector between 2008 and 2018
title Risk of insolvency and return of shares: empirical analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian mining sector between 2008 and 2018
spellingShingle Risk of insolvency and return of shares: empirical analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian mining sector between 2008 and 2018
Lizarzaburu, Edmundo R.
Financial distress
Insolvency risk
Z-Score
Historical stock performance
Emerging markets
Mining sector
Problemas financieros
Riesgo de insolvencia
Puntuación Z
Rendimiento histórico de las acciones
Mercados emergentes
Sector minero
https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.04
title_short Risk of insolvency and return of shares: empirical analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian mining sector between 2008 and 2018
title_full Risk of insolvency and return of shares: empirical analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian mining sector between 2008 and 2018
title_fullStr Risk of insolvency and return of shares: empirical analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian mining sector between 2008 and 2018
title_full_unstemmed Risk of insolvency and return of shares: empirical analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian mining sector between 2008 and 2018
title_sort Risk of insolvency and return of shares: empirical analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian mining sector between 2008 and 2018
author Lizarzaburu, Edmundo R.
author_facet Lizarzaburu, Edmundo R.
Burneo, Kurt
Berggrun, Luis
author_role author
author2 Burneo, Kurt
Berggrun, Luis
author2_role author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Lizarzaburu, Edmundo R.
Burneo, Kurt
Berggrun, Luis
dc.subject.en_EN.fl_str_mv Financial distress
Insolvency risk
Z-Score
Historical stock performance
Emerging markets
Mining sector
topic Financial distress
Insolvency risk
Z-Score
Historical stock performance
Emerging markets
Mining sector
Problemas financieros
Riesgo de insolvencia
Puntuación Z
Rendimiento histórico de las acciones
Mercados emergentes
Sector minero
https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.04
dc.subject.es_ES.fl_str_mv Problemas financieros
Riesgo de insolvencia
Puntuación Z
Rendimiento histórico de las acciones
Mercados emergentes
Sector minero
dc.subject.ocde.none.fl_str_mv https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.04
description This research pretends to evaluate the significance of the insolvency risk, referred by Altman's Z-Score, in the explanation of the historical return of the 7 most liquid mining companies listed in the Lima Stock Exchange based on a Market Return Model (MRM) under a cross-sectional approach. In this sense, daily data was collected from the S&P/BVL Peru Select index and the Peruvian 10-year Sovereign Bond between 2008-2018, approximated quarterly by the geometric average to homogenize them with the frequency of the Z. Thus, two central results were obtained: 1) The Z-Score, as an estimator of insolvency risk, is not valid to explain the behavior of the historical return of the shares, and 2) The Market Premium is statistically significant within the yield analysis. Also, contrary to the common literature, the results suggest the validity of Sharpe's conventional CAPM.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2021-09-30T16:58:04Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2021-09-30T16:58:04Z
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2021-02-03
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
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dc.type.other.none.fl_str_mv Artículo
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.none.fl_str_mv Lizarzaburu Bolaños, E. R., Burneo, K., & Berggrun, L. (2021). Risk of insolvency and return of shares: empirical analysis of Altman’s Z-Score in the Peruvian mining sector between 2008-2018. Universidad & Empresa, 23(40), 1-33. https://doi.org/10.12804/revistas.urosario.edu.co/empresa/a.8558
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12640/2481
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.12804/revistas.urosario.edu.co/empresa/a.8558
identifier_str_mv Lizarzaburu Bolaños, E. R., Burneo, K., & Berggrun, L. (2021). Risk of insolvency and return of shares: empirical analysis of Altman’s Z-Score in the Peruvian mining sector between 2008-2018. Universidad & Empresa, 23(40), 1-33. https://doi.org/10.12804/revistas.urosario.edu.co/empresa/a.8558
url https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12640/2481
https://doi.org/10.12804/revistas.urosario.edu.co/empresa/a.8558
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv eng
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
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spelling Lizarzaburu, Edmundo R.Burneo, KurtBerggrun, Luis2021-09-30T16:58:04Z2021-09-30T16:58:04Z2021-02-03Lizarzaburu Bolaños, E. R., Burneo, K., & Berggrun, L. (2021). Risk of insolvency and return of shares: empirical analysis of Altman’s Z-Score in the Peruvian mining sector between 2008-2018. Universidad & Empresa, 23(40), 1-33. https://doi.org/10.12804/revistas.urosario.edu.co/empresa/a.8558https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12640/2481https://doi.org/10.12804/revistas.urosario.edu.co/empresa/a.8558This research pretends to evaluate the significance of the insolvency risk, referred by Altman's Z-Score, in the explanation of the historical return of the 7 most liquid mining companies listed in the Lima Stock Exchange based on a Market Return Model (MRM) under a cross-sectional approach. In this sense, daily data was collected from the S&P/BVL Peru Select index and the Peruvian 10-year Sovereign Bond between 2008-2018, approximated quarterly by the geometric average to homogenize them with the frequency of the Z. Thus, two central results were obtained: 1) The Z-Score, as an estimator of insolvency risk, is not valid to explain the behavior of the historical return of the shares, and 2) The Market Premium is statistically significant within the yield analysis. Also, contrary to the common literature, the results suggest the validity of Sharpe's conventional CAPM.Esta investigación pretendía evaluar la importancia del riesgo de insolvencia, referido por la puntuación Z de Altman, en la explicación del rendimiento histórico de las siete empresas mineras más líquidas que cotizan en la Bolsa de Valores de Lima (bvl) con base en un modelo de retorno de mercado bajo un enfoque transversal. En este sentido, se recolectaron datos diarios del índice s&p/bvl Peru Select y del Bono Soberano Peruano a diez años entre 2008 y 2018, aproximados trimestralmente por el promedio geométrico para homogeneizarlos con la frecuencia de Z. Así, se obtuvieron dos resultados centrales: (1) el Z-Score, como estimador de riesgo de insolvencia, que no es válido para explicar el comportamiento de la rentabilidad histórica de las acciones, y (2) la prima de mercado, que es estadísticamente significativa dentro del análisis de rentabilidad. Además, contrariamente a la literatura común, los resultados sugieren la validez del capm convencional de Sharpe.application/pdfInglésengUniversidad del RosarioCOurn:issn:0124-4639urn:issn:2145-4558https://revistas.urosario.edu.co/index.php/empresa/article/view/8558/9438info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessAttribution-NonCommercial 4.0 Internationalhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/Financial distressInsolvency riskZ-ScoreHistorical stock performanceEmerging marketsMining sectorProblemas financierosRiesgo de insolvenciaPuntuación ZRendimiento histórico de las accionesMercados emergentesSector minerohttps://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.04Risk of insolvency and return of shares: empirical analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian mining sector between 2008 and 2018info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionArtículoreponame:ESAN-Institucionalinstname:Universidad ESANinstacron:ESANhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8862-5624Acceso abiertoRevista Universidad y Empresa3340123ORIGINALlizarzaburu_2021.pdflizarzaburu_2021.pdfTexto completoapplication/pdf377055https://repositorio.esan.edu.pe/bitstreams/647fcf40-9439-41f5-96bc-38dada691887/downloadfb5a1bcb23ffb65f9f3b82af4640fd21MD51trueAnonymousREADTHUMBNAILlizarzaburu_2021.pdf.jpglizarzaburu_2021.pdf.jpgGenerated Thumbnailimage/jpeg4575https://repositorio.esan.edu.pe/bitstreams/a3e23e1e-acaa-49fb-8b7a-ee158e069878/download654955f3e50be4664a5a55a54464e5e6MD55falseAnonymousREADTEXTlizarzaburu_2021.pdf.txtlizarzaburu_2021.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain84481https://repositorio.esan.edu.pe/bitstreams/3cc52fb0-07c4-45bd-a8d7-73dbc411decf/download40f38c9e4e9469b79087ca29b8383d22MD54falseAnonymousREAD20.500.12640/2481oai:repositorio.esan.edu.pe:20.500.12640/24812024-11-25 19:41:24.315https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessopen.accesshttps://repositorio.esan.edu.peRepositorio Institucional ESANrepositorio@esan.edu.pe
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