1
tesis de grado
Publicado 2022
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The level of passenger demand for the Metropolitan service has increased and the planning called JICA, currently used, is not enough, causing the saturation of passengers in their 38 stations. According to experts and reports made by the Metropolitan Municipality of Lima and ProTransporte in 2018, claim that the maximum station capacity of 700,000 passengers was exceeded daily, which was planned, being twice as much as 2010 and suggesting updating demand planning. So, it was proposed to predict the passenger demand of station clusters using SARIMA from a spatio-temporal analysis using two data mining methods and the Box-Jenkins methodology to get the best possible model for cluster. The results of the spatio-temporal analysis showed similar behavior between stations when grouped into clusters with weekly seasonality. The models didn't make a correct prediction for the annual holidays, as...