The anthropogenic climate change is a major cause of biodiversity loss. In this context, there is a need for studies based on the future impacts of large-scale climate change to propose conservation strategies for endangered species such as Puya raimondii Harms, a species of bromeliad endemic to the Andes of Peru and Bolivia. In this article, we model the current and future potential distribution of P. raimondii in order to identify priority areas for the future conservation of this endemic species. Our results revealed that 1) the current potentially suitable areas are centered in the Andes of Peru and Bolivia with an extension of 154268.40 km², and 2) in future climate change scenarios for the 2070s, there is a loss of potential areas, with an average reduction of area to -34326.53 km² and -8193.22 km² for the two climate scenarios of Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 ...

The anthropogenic climate change is a major cause of biodiversity loss. In this context, there is a need for studies based on the future impacts of large-scale climate change to propose conservation strategies for endangered species such as Puya raimondii Harms, a species of bromeliad endemic to the Andes of Peru and Bolivia. In this article, we model the current and future potential distribution of P. raimondii in order to identify priority areas for the future conservation of this endemic species. Our results revealed that 1) the current potentially suitable areas are centered in the Andes of Peru and Bolivia with an extension of 154268.40 km², and 2) in future climate change scenarios for the 2070s, there is a loss of potential areas, with an average reduction of area to -34326.53 km² and -8193.22 km² for the two climate scenarios of Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 ...

The anthropogenic climate change is a major cause of biodiversity loss. In this context, there is a need for studies based on the future impacts of large-scale climate change to propose conservation strategies for endangered species such as Puya raimondii Harms, a species of bromeliad endemic to the Andes of Peru and Bolivia. In this article, we model the current and future potential distribution of P. raimondii in order to identify priority areas for the future conservation of this endemic species. Our results revealed that 1) the current potentially suitable areas are centered in the Andes of Peru and Bolivia with an extension of 154268.40 km², and 2) in future climate change scenarios for the 2070s, there is a loss of potential areas, with an average reduction of area to -34326.53 km² and -8193.22 km² for the two climate scenarios of Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 ...

El cambio climático es un importante impulsor de la pérdida de biodiversidad, se estima que para los finales de este siglo, habrá extinciones masivas de especies alpinas y andinas, como es el caso de las especies del género Polylepis, que presentan distribuciones muy restringidas en los altos andes, en este contexto se planteó modelar los efectos del cambio climático en la distribución potencial de seis especies del género Polylepis spp. Se utilizaron 118 puntos de presencias de las especies y capas climáticas actuales, proyectadas para el 2070, en el modelado se utilizó el algoritmo de Máxima Entropía. Obteniendo un buen desempeño del modelo con área bajo la curva (AUC) superiores a 0.9 para todas las especies, determinando que, las áreas de distribuciones potenciales de las especies estudiadas, están migrando a mayores altitudes y sus áreas de distribución se reducen ...

The anthropogenic climate change is a major cause of biodiversity loss. In this context, there is a need for studies based on the future impacts of large-scale climate change to propose conservation strategies for endangered species such as Puya raimondii Harms, a species of bromeliad endemic to the Andes of Peru and Bolivia. In this article, we model the current and future potential distribution of P. raimondii in order to identify priority areas for the future conservation of this endemic species. Our results revealed that 1) the current potentially suitable areas are centered in the Andes of Peru and Bolivia with an extension of 154268.40 km², and 2) in future climate change scenarios for the 2070s, there is a loss of potential areas, with an average reduction of area to -34326.53 km² and -8193.22 km² for the two climate scenarios of Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 ...