Objective. Determine was mathematically modeled using the expression=(1+×−×)⁄, which is a predictive equation. Using this model, the number of deaths due to COVID-19 worldwide was estimated.Design. Correlational, prospective, predictive and transversal study. Participans.The data on deceased individuals due to the COVID-19 disease up to November 5, 2022, was considered. Main measurement.This data was used to analyze the pandemic dispersion, which was determined to exhibit logistic sigmoidal behavior. By deriving Equation 3, the rate of deaths due to COVID-19 worldwide was calculated, obtaining the predictive model represented in Figure 3.Results. Using Equation (5), the critical time=447and the maximum speed (̂)á=1525028,553/and the date when the global death rate due to COVID-19 reached its maximum was July 6, 2021. The Pearson correlation coefficient between the elapsed time ()...