Este trabajo de tesis se realizó con el objetivo de proyectar las exportaciones mensuales del Perú mediante el Análisis Factorial Dinámico, modelo que consiste en la reducción de la dimensionalidad de las series a ser utilizadas como variables explicativas en la proyección de una serie macroeconómica desde un número grande a un número más pequeño de indicadores o factores. Este modelo fue desarrollado por Sargent y Sims (1977) e implementado por Aguirre y Céspedes (2004). En el Perú, las variables bajo estudio se concentraron en el primer factor al que se le denominó factor macroeconómico, posteriormente, se aplicó un modelo SARIMA para suavizar los errores de estimación y un Análisis de Intervención con el objetivo de disminuir el efecto producido por la caída de las exportaciones peruanas en el 2009 debido a la crisis mundial en ese periodo. Finalmente se obtuvo un ...

It is known the great influence of the Triple Helix of the University, the Government and the Company on innovation and technological development, and the impact of this on the economic development of nations. However, in our country, this aspect is not fully recognized, with no efficient mechanisms for coordination, as it can be done by a Ministry of Science and Technology. Peru spends only 0.15% of GDP for research and technological development, while Chile spends more than three times that percentage, 0.5%. Crucial aspects for this deficiency is the lack of strategic and productive routing by the Peruvian Government; the lack of institutional recognition of the importance of innovation and technological development, the crisis of Peruvian universities, especially public ones.The conclusions here proposed are in relation to the implementation of the strategic and productive routing by ...

It is known the great influence of the Triple Helix of the University, the Government and the Company on innovation and technological development, and the impact of this on the economic development of nations. However, in our country, this aspect is not fully recognized, with no efficient mechanisms for coordination, as it can be done by a Ministry of Science and Technology. Peru spends only 0.15% of GDP for research and technological development, while Chile spends more than three times that percentage, 0.5%. Crucial aspects for this deficiency is the lack of strategic and productive routing by the Peruvian Government; the lack of institutional recognition of the importance of innovation and technological development, the crisis of Peruvian universities, especially public ones.The conclusions here proposed are in relation to the implementation of the strategic and productive routing by ...