With the purpose of establishing a prospective of the Peruvian economy until the year 2025 based on the growth models of Harrod, Solow and Thirlwall, the author applies his parameters to Peru and calculates two scenarios of growth of GDP and GDP per person: inertial and desirable. He then reflects on the implications of the rates obtained in terms of their viability, taking into account the recent past, the results of other foresight exercises, and the pending economic reform agenda.

China has become the miracle of the 21st century. In the global competition for markets, it appears as a winner in several branches and is already the main supplier in the United States of America. It is interesting to trace in the specialized literature the causes or sources of China's spectacular growth and what prospective studies say about it. This article synthesizes recent information to place the Chinese process in historical perspective; He carries out a simple prospective exercise and examines its feasibility, alluding to the role of economic reforms, structural change, the catching up effect and the demographic dividend, which experts point to as the main sources of current Chinese growth and which should also play a role. role in your future.