Resultados de Búsqueda por Autor

artículo

Projected changes in temperature and precipitation over the United States, Central America, and the Caribbean in CMIP6 GCMs

Publicado por
Almazroui, Mansour, Islam, M. Nazrul, Saeed, Fahad, Saeed, Sajjad, Ismail, Muhammad, Ehsan, Muhammad Azhar, Diallo, Ismaila, O’Brien, Enda, Ashfaq, Moetasim, Martínez Castro, Daniel, Cavazos, Tereza, Cerezo‑Mota, Ruth, Tippett, Michael K., Gutowski Jr., William J., Alfaro, Eric J., Hidalgo, Hugo G., Vichot‑Llano, Alejandro, Campbell, Jayaka D., Kamil, Shahzad, Rashid, Irfan Ur, Sylla, Mouhamadou Bamba, Stephenson, Tannecia, Taylor, Michael, Barlow, Mathew

Publicado 2021

Enlace

The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) dataset is used to examine projected changes in temperature and precipitation over the United States (U.S.), Central America and the Caribbean. The changes are computed using an ensemble of 31 models for three future time slices (2021–2040, 2041–2060, and 2080–2099) relative to the reference period (1995–2014) under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs; SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5). The CMIP6 ensemble reproduces the observed annual cycle and distribution of mean annual temperature and precipitation with biases between − 0.93 and 1.27 °C and − 37.90 to 58.45%, respectively, for most of the region. However, modeled precipitation is too large over the western and Midwestern U.S. during winter and spring and over the North American monsoon region in summer, while too small over southern Central America. Temperat...