Evolution of the monetary policy in Peru: an empirical application using a mixture innovation TVP-VAR-SV Model
Descripción del Articulo
This paper investigates the evolution of the monetary policy in Peru between 1996Q1 and 2016Q4 using a mixture innovation time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model with stochastic volatility (TVP-VAR-SV)model proposed by Koopetal.(2009).The main empirical results are:(i)VARcoe¢cients and vo...
Autor: | |
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Formato: | tesis de grado |
Fecha de Publicación: | 2020 |
Institución: | Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú |
Repositorio: | PUCP-Tesis |
Lenguaje: | inglés |
OAI Identifier: | oai:tesis.pucp.edu.pe:20.500.12404/17992 |
Enlace del recurso: | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12404/17992 |
Nivel de acceso: | acceso abierto |
Materia: | Política monetaria--Perú Perú--Condiciones económicas Estadística bayesiana Tasas de interés--Perú Perú--Política económica https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.01 |
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dc.title.es_ES.fl_str_mv |
Evolution of the monetary policy in Peru: an empirical application using a mixture innovation TVP-VAR-SV Model |
title |
Evolution of the monetary policy in Peru: an empirical application using a mixture innovation TVP-VAR-SV Model |
spellingShingle |
Evolution of the monetary policy in Peru: an empirical application using a mixture innovation TVP-VAR-SV Model Portilla Goicochea, Jhonatan Josue Política monetaria--Perú Perú--Condiciones económicas Estadística bayesiana Tasas de interés--Perú Perú--Política económica https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.01 |
title_short |
Evolution of the monetary policy in Peru: an empirical application using a mixture innovation TVP-VAR-SV Model |
title_full |
Evolution of the monetary policy in Peru: an empirical application using a mixture innovation TVP-VAR-SV Model |
title_fullStr |
Evolution of the monetary policy in Peru: an empirical application using a mixture innovation TVP-VAR-SV Model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Evolution of the monetary policy in Peru: an empirical application using a mixture innovation TVP-VAR-SV Model |
title_sort |
Evolution of the monetary policy in Peru: an empirical application using a mixture innovation TVP-VAR-SV Model |
author |
Portilla Goicochea, Jhonatan Josue |
author_facet |
Portilla Goicochea, Jhonatan Josue |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.advisor.fl_str_mv |
Rodríguez Briones, Gabriel Hender |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Portilla Goicochea, Jhonatan Josue |
dc.subject.es_ES.fl_str_mv |
Política monetaria--Perú Perú--Condiciones económicas Estadística bayesiana Tasas de interés--Perú Perú--Política económica |
topic |
Política monetaria--Perú Perú--Condiciones económicas Estadística bayesiana Tasas de interés--Perú Perú--Política económica https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.01 |
dc.subject.ocde.es_ES.fl_str_mv |
https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.01 |
description |
This paper investigates the evolution of the monetary policy in Peru between 1996Q1 and 2016Q4 using a mixture innovation time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model with stochastic volatility (TVP-VAR-SV)model proposed by Koopetal.(2009).The main empirical results are:(i)VARcoe¢cients and volatilities change more gradually than covariance errors overtime;(ii)the volatility of monetary policy shocks is higher during pre-In ation Targeting (IT) regime;(iii)a surprise increase in the interest rate produces GDP growth falls and reduces in ation in the longrun;(iv)the interest rate reacts more quickly against aggregate supply shocks than aggregate demand shocks;(v)monetary policy shocks explain a high percentage of domestic variables during pre-IT regime and then,their contribution decrease during IT-regime. |
publishDate |
2020 |
dc.date.created.none.fl_str_mv |
2020 |
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv |
2021-01-29T00:17:13Z |
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv |
2021-01-29T00:17:13Z |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2021-01-28 |
dc.type.es_ES.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/bachelorThesis |
format |
bachelorThesis |
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12404/17992 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12404/17992 |
dc.language.iso.es_ES.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.ispartof.fl_str_mv |
SUNEDU |
dc.rights.es_ES.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
dc.rights.uri.*.fl_str_mv |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/pe/ |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/pe/ |
dc.publisher.es_ES.fl_str_mv |
Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú |
dc.publisher.country.es_ES.fl_str_mv |
PE |
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Rodríguez Briones, Gabriel HenderPortilla Goicochea, Jhonatan Josue2021-01-29T00:17:13Z2021-01-29T00:17:13Z20202021-01-28http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12404/17992This paper investigates the evolution of the monetary policy in Peru between 1996Q1 and 2016Q4 using a mixture innovation time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model with stochastic volatility (TVP-VAR-SV)model proposed by Koopetal.(2009).The main empirical results are:(i)VARcoe¢cients and volatilities change more gradually than covariance errors overtime;(ii)the volatility of monetary policy shocks is higher during pre-In ation Targeting (IT) regime;(iii)a surprise increase in the interest rate produces GDP growth falls and reduces in ation in the longrun;(iv)the interest rate reacts more quickly against aggregate supply shocks than aggregate demand shocks;(v)monetary policy shocks explain a high percentage of domestic variables during pre-IT regime and then,their contribution decrease during IT-regime.engPontificia Universidad Católica del PerúPEinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/pe/Política monetaria--PerúPerú--Condiciones económicasEstadística bayesianaTasas de interés--PerúPerú--Política económicahttps://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.01Evolution of the monetary policy in Peru: an empirical application using a mixture innovation TVP-VAR-SV Modelinfo:eu-repo/semantics/bachelorThesisreponame:PUCP-Tesisinstname:Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perúinstacron:PUCPSUNEDULicenciado en EconomíaTítulo ProfesionalPontificia Universidad Catolica del Peru. Facultad de Ciencias SocialesEconomía08026677https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1174-964276298835421016Dancourt Masias, Oscar Alfonso BernardoCastillo Bardalez, Paul GonzaloRodriguez Briones, Gabriel Henderhttps://purl.org/pe-repo/renati/level#tituloProfesionalhttps://purl.org/pe-repo/renati/type#tesisLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81748https://tesis.pucp.edu.pe/bitstreams/9dafc3d9-fb0a-4a2c-aa92-c090b47fdb7b/download8a4605be74aa9ea9d79846c1fba20a33MD53falseAnonymousREADORIGINALPORTILLA_GOICOCHEA_JHONATAN_JOSUE_EVOLUTION_OF_THE_MONETARY POLICY.pdfPORTILLA_GOICOCHEA_JHONATAN_JOSUE_EVOLUTION_OF_THE_MONETARY POLICY.pdfTexto completoapplication/pdf2895341https://tesis.pucp.edu.pe/bitstreams/9f274aa7-dd2d-4652-ac25-8f41f2f2ce9b/download8f6ae145c47ad81e6dad2f653c519da1MD51trueAnonymousREADCC-LICENSElicense_rdflicense_rdfapplication/rdf+xml; charset=utf-8914https://tesis.pucp.edu.pe/bitstreams/81e339d5-e958-449f-8a6d-8de5bcdcfeff/download5a4ffbc01f1b5eb70a835dac0d501661MD52falseAnonymousREADTHUMBNAILPORTILLA_GOICOCHEA_JHONATAN_JOSUE_EVOLUTION_OF_THE_MONETARY POLICY.pdf.jpgPORTILLA_GOICOCHEA_JHONATAN_JOSUE_EVOLUTION_OF_THE_MONETARY POLICY.pdf.jpgIM Thumbnailimage/jpeg16070https://tesis.pucp.edu.pe/bitstreams/479e85e0-a121-47d8-b594-3c23e860952d/download592eb5835de5a593f85c23203af6b506MD54falseAnonymousREAD20.500.12404/17992oai:tesis.pucp.edu.pe:20.500.12404/179922025-07-18 17:08:47.896http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/pe/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessopen.accesshttps://tesis.pucp.edu.peRepositorio de Tesis PUCPraul.sifuentes@pucp.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 |
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