Basic epidemiologic model SIR for COVID-19: case of Peruvian Regions

• Autores: Vergara Moreno, Edmundo, León Navarro, Ronald, More Ayala, Jiuliana, Arteaga Blas, Daniel, Asmat Uceda, Rafael, Peralta Castañeda, Julio, Quito Santos, Cesar, Vargas Pichon, Humberto, Rubio, Obidio
• Formato: artículo
• Fecha de Publicación: 2020
• Institución: Universidad Nacional de Trujillo
• Repositorio: Revista UNITRU - Selecciones Matemáticas
• Lenguaje: español
• OAI Identifier: oai:ojs.revistas.unitru.edu.pe:article/2968
• Enlace del recurso: http://revistas.unitru.edu.pe/index.php/SSMM/article/view/2968
• Nivel de acceso: acceso abierto
• Materia: SIR basic model; COVID-19; Epidemic; Peruvian regions; Modelo básico SIR; Epidemia; Regiones del Perú

In this work, a basic epidemiological model is used to determine the evolution of COVID-19 in each of the regions of Peru. For determining the parameters of the model which characterize a certain epidemic, the reports of infected, deceased and recovered people provided by the Regional Health Management of Peru are used. As a result, we obtained the configuration of the infected, susceptible and removed which are consistent with the existing bibliography, thus we also obtain a time interval in which there is a considerable number of infected, the maximum number of infected and the date on which it occurs.